Wendy R. Sherman, Director, Center for Public Leadership; Professor of the Practice of Public Leadership, Harvard Kennedy School. The Future of Geopolitics Program in Focus: GMF’s Future of Geopolitics Program addresses these developments through its Global Disorder and Across America programming. Lewis Jackson Politics December 23, 2020 December 23, 2020 1 Minute. A threat to even the slenderest … These developments are leading to a need for global norms and protocols to accelerate the benefits and mitigate the risks of these new technologies. Munk Debate on the Future of Geopolitics April 28, 2017 Rudyard Griffiths: I want to spend a few brief moments with you before the formal start of tonight’s debate at seven o’clock, because tonight represents an important milestone in the Munk Debates. So, it will be best to keep technological structures separate, and to let people in different geographies choose what they want. Governments, businesses and individuals will have to meet the political challenges posed by emergence of technology jointly and across borders. We were established in 1971 as a not-for-profit Foundation and is headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland. The development of renewable energy is often treated as a purely positive outcome for the world, without consideration of the challenges that come with implementation at scale, which will inevitably follow with the process of a global energy transition. His most recent book, In Defense of a Liberal Education , was published in 2015 and praised by the New York Times as “an accessible, necessary defense of an idea under siege.” The cooperation between China and Russia in recent years adds an intriguing complexity to Arctic geopolitics. It is an impossible triangle precisely because no government, community or country can serve all three interests to the satisfaction of all. CSIS’s Risk and Foresight Group created four plausible, differentiated scenarios to explore the changing geopolitical landscape of 2025-2030, including the potential lasting first- and second-order effects of Covid-19. Welcome to Geopolitical Futures. Blocked World. If the connections that are essential to our wellbeing are also being turned into geopolitical tools, we need to agree on norms and rules to make them less dangerous. The Future of American Geopolitics. So, the biggest impact? We have a model, a way of looking at the world, based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders not the other way around. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents. The more vulnerable states feel, the tighter control they will try to impose and exercise. Geopolitics is complex, and the Myanmar situation is awkward for new US President Joe Biden. This event is open to the public. First, if the US sees China as an opponent and threat to the security of the Indian Ocean, it should be quietly glad of Ms Suu Kyi’s ousting. Mark Leonard, Director, European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR). The scenarios center on the relative power and influence of the United States and China and the interaction between them, along with detailed consideration of … Importantly, technology does not need to be an ingredient for global rivalry. What impact will technology have on geopolitics this coming year? In the 20th century, market capitalist democracies geared infrastructure, energy, trade, and even social policy to protect and advance that era’s key source of power—manufacturing. Covid-19 and the Future of Global Supply Chains. Will world powers reach out to one another in shows of multilateralism and cooperation? The single biggest challenge around technology is the way it is being nationalized and weaponized. Will security and trust be an issue? Geopolitics is the science of how to rule (emphasis by Dugin). For now, the politicization of 5G is still a real issue, and unlikely to be settled in the near future. He is the author of four books, including Next Geopolitics: Volume 1 and 2, Go.AI (Geopolitics of Artificial Intelligence) and his latest book, The Age of Killer Robots. Speakers discuss the rapidly-changing global energy landscape, climate change, and emerging geopolitical threats. Whether you’re looking to learn about the impact and future of globalisation, tensions in the Korean peninsula, or how the battle for resources will shape our future, these geopolitics courses have the answers. 'We must work together to address both the vast benefits and the enormous risks of data', Vera Songwe, UN Under-Secretary-General and Executive Secretary, United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA). (FG, pg. At a time when we are seeing both rapid innovation and an unsettled geopolitical landscape, the World Economic Forum asked members of the Global Future on Geopolitics to offer their views of the impact technology will have on geopolitics in the coming year. What are the prospects for a new Cold War? Apr 28, 2017. For the first article in the series, Analytics India Magazine got in touch with Abishur Prakash, a geopolitical futurist at the Center for Innovating the Future (CIF) in Canada. To compete and thrive in the 21st century, democracies, and the United States in particular, must develop new national security and economic strategies that address the geopolitics of information. For the first article in the series, Analytics India Magazine got in touch with Abishur Prakash, a geopolitical futurist at the Center for Innovating the Future (CIF) in Canada. Continuing conflict … Today, data is one of the most valuable assets there is. Even in quiet Australia, we’re grappling with the consequences of great power politics thanks to our own trade war with China. Studies on the political process of the transition to a world of renewables are scarce. Abishur works with large multinationals, governments and hyper-growth startups, helping them understand the risks and opportunities the 'geopolitics of technology' brings. Business operates through the lens of metrics and quantitative analysis. Those with the most advanced broadband will adapt fastest to new forms of online economic activity. Previously, she served as foreign minister of Argentina (2015-2017), chief of staff to then-UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon (2012-2015) and UN under-secretary-general for field support (2008-2012). Looking at that, geopolitics helps us to see the future. From a different dimension, current debates over the value, context, and future of geopolitics can be fitted into the model of geopolitics as a form of response to problems. Therefore, the battleground for geopolitical influence will be centered on who owns the tech companies and which companies they own. The imponderables will form the proverbial impossible triangle comprising quest for sustained economic growth, heightened national security concerns and rising demands for individual rights as the three sides. 24 – 25.) There is a new map of power in the modern world that is no longer defined by geography, by control of territory or oceans but rather by control over flows of people, goods, money and data and by exploiting the connections technology creates. The main effect of technology on the international geopolitical order will derive from a widening gap between the transnational nature of communication and growing resistance to this from nation states. Most worrying is the danger of this technological competition escalating out of control and threatening global security. In my quest to use the past to understand the future, I finished another book and added it to my Book Library. Alexander Dugin, The Foundations of Geopolitics: The Geopolitical Future of Russia (Moscow: Arktogeia, 2000) Table of Contents: Foreword Book I: The Foundations of Geopolitics Introduction Chapter 1: The Definition of Geopolitics Chapter 2: Tellurocracy and Thalassocracy Chapter 3: Geopolitical Teleology Chapter 4: Rimland and “Border Zones” Chapter 5: Geopolitics as Fate PART I: … - 1:30pm, A Conversation with Susana Malcorra It is an issue of community and the common good. In this century, democracies must better account for information geopolitics across all dimensions of domestic policy and national strategy. - The Future of Geopolitics The Future of Geopolitics Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical analyst and author of The Accidental Superpower. The purpose of this paper is to analyze how China’s new power is reaching Europe, the challenges that it poses, and the European responses to this new reality. Those countries with access to rapid genomic sequencing can stay one step ahead of the pandemic. The post-pandemic world will have to deal with known and unknown technology-related challenges. Many institutions and mechanisms, including the WTO and AfCFTA, are challenged in keeping up with and addressing data issues. Next Geopolitics: The Future of World Affairs (Technology) is a groundbreaking book on how new technologies, such as robotics, artificial intelligence, embryo editing, space colonization and more will transform world affairs. It was also a year in which technology emerged as the slayer of conventional geopolitics. This process has to be examined in the context of the current strategic competition between China and the U.S. and its reflection on the transatlantic relationship. Daniel Falcone: Do you anticipate the United States entering a new Cold War with China? From a different dimension, current debates over the value, context, and future of geopolitics can be fitted into the model of geopolitics as a form of response to problems. September 16, 2020. Be it resolved, the liberal international order is over… The module will also discuss the impact of the Sunni/Shia’a conflict and Daesh on international geopolitics and the future of the region. We must address challenges 'jointly and across borders', Samir Saran, President, Observer Research Foundation (ORF). Future of Geopolitics. Seminar The concept of nations as sole interlocuters is passé. Understanding its influence on the future requires an understanding of the past. Speakers. Artificial intelligence, blockchain and 5G capabilities are fast becoming the frontlines of either global competition or coordination. The focus is on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the upheavals of the Arab Spring, and the role of political Islam. Combined, this may heighten tensions and prove challenging for the integrity of a globalized world. Within the Liberals, the future isn’t all that bright either. Peering into the future of U.S. empire, a Soviet-style collapse is possible and the dollar will lose its reserve status, but the geopolitical danger point comes when the stimulus effects wear off and Washington may consider escalating tensions with Eurasia including through the use of false flag operations as is typically done throughout history. The biggest impact that technology will have on geopolitics for 2021 (and beyond) will not primarily come from the technology itself, but rather from the system that surrounds it. Many types of valuable data are easily obtained, transported and used to influence large groups of the population. [1] GEOPOLITICS Equal and effective partners? FutureLearn offers a variety of online geopolitics courses designed to help you get to grips with the bigger issues. Energy prices and geopolitics have been interconnected since the beginning of the twentieth century, but expanded globalization, increased industrialization, and booming fossil fuel supplies have made this relationship increasingly brittle. The Geopolitics of Navalny’s Return & The Future of Democracy in Russia Analysis Alexi Navalny (Алексей Навальный) is the single most visible face of the anti-Putin opposition movement inside Russia, in all its iterations. With a global pandemic in full swing and many countries around the … Russia’s military doctrine is clearly closely related to European security – which is obvious even after the Cold War– and is in any case completely independent of the internal political configuration of the Russian regime.. Among the most powerfully visceral forces in politics. Find out more about the World Economic Forum Global Future Council on Geopolitics. The Geopolitics, Internat ional Relations, and the Future of the Middle East seminar has an interdisciplinary, integrative, and critical focus encompassing 45 academic hours (3 credits).
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